{"id":3211,"date":"2021-02-23T12:42:34","date_gmt":"2021-02-23T03:42:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/whatevers.io\/?p=3211"},"modified":"2021-02-23T12:46:02","modified_gmt":"2021-02-23T03:46:02","slug":"%ec%a0%84%eb%ac%b8-%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac%ec%98%a4-2021%eb%85%84-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%a7%80%ea%b8%88-%eb%b2%84%eb%b8%94%ec%97%90-%ec%9e%88%eb%8a%94%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/whatevers.kr\/?p=3211","title":{"rendered":"[\uc804\ubb38] \ub808\uc774 \ub2ec\ub9ac\uc624 “2021\ub144 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc84\ube14\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?”"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\uc138\uacc4 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc\ub97c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub808\uc774 \ub2ec\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub4dc\uc778<\/a>\uc5d0 \uae00\uc744 \ub0a8\uacbc\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \u201c\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc84\ube14\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?(Are We In a Stock Market Bubble?<\/strong>)\u201d\ub77c\ub294 \uc81c\ubaa9\uc774\uc5c8\ub294\ub370\uc694. \ucf54\ub85c\ub09819 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub108\ubb34\ub098\ub3c4 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \uae00\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ub418\uc5b4 \ubc88\uc5ed\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84\uc5d0\uc11c \uc758\uc5ed\ud55c \uac83\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\ub2c8 \uc774 \uc810 \uc591\ud574 \ub9d0\uc500 \ub4dc\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. [\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc8fc]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc800\ub294 \uc0b4\uba74\uc11c \uc815\ub9d0 \ub9ce\uc740 \ubc84\ube14\uc744 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ub9c8\uc8fc\ud574\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc5ed\uc0ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc84\ube14\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \uacf5\ubd80\ud574\uc624\uace0 \uc788\uc8e0. \uadf8\ub807\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubc84\ube14\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacbd\ud5d8\uc744 \ud1a0\ub300\ub85c \uc800\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uad00\ub828\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud574\uc8fc\ub294 \uc77c\uba85 \u201c\ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\u201d\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\ud654\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud76c\ub294 \uc774 \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc800\ud76c\uac00 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370\uc694.\uc774 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\ub294\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uac83\uc744 \ub9d0\ud574\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub9ac\uace0\uc790 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc800\uc5d0\uac8c \ubc84\ube14\uc774\ub780 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc744 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc84\ube14\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\uace0\uc790 \uc800\ub294 \uc544\ub798 6\uac00\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ucc99\ub3c4\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub192\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/li>
  2. \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \ud560\uc778\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/li>
  3. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub9e4\uc218\uc790\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\ub294\uac00?<\/li>
  4. \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc815\uc11c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub113\uac8c \ud37c\uc838\uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/li>
  5. \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc758 \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\uac00 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/li>
  6. \uc608\uc678\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc120\ub3c4\uad6c\ub9e4\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud1b5\uacc4\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc704 6\uac00\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud569\uc2dc\ucf1c \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ud76c\ub294 \uc800\ud76c\uac00 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294\ub370\uc694. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\uac83\uc744 \uc99d\uad8c\ubcc4\ub85c \ubb36\uae30\ub3c4 \ud558\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4\ub85c \ubb36\uae30\ub3c4 \ud574\uc11c \uc804\uccb4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc644\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798 \ud45c\ub294 \uc2dc\ub300\ubcc4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc704 6\uac1c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \ub098\uc5f4\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354 \uc544\ub798 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadf8\uac83\ub4e4\uc744 \ud569\uccd0 \uc218\uce58\ud654\ud55c \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc9c0\ub09c 1910\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube44\uad50\ud574\uc11c \ubcf4\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370\uc694. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uacfc\uac70\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc778\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"
    \ud604\uc7ac \uc804\uccb4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \ub193\uace0 \ubd24\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \ubc84\ube14\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30 \ud798\ub4e4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc694\uc998 \uc778\uae30 \uc788\ub294 \uba87\uba87 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4\ub418\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

    \uc694\uc57d\ud558\uc790\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc804\uccb4\uc758 \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub300\ub7b5 77% \uc815\ub3c4<\/strong>\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2000\ub144 \ub2f7\ucef4\ubc84\ube14\uacfc 1929\ub144 \ub300\uacf5\ud56d \uc804 \ubc84\ube14 \ub54c \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 100%\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74 \ub9d0\uc774\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"
    \ub300\uacf5\ud56d \uc9c1\uc804\uacfc \ub2f7\ucef4\ubc84\ube14\uc774 \uc788\ub358 2000\ub144\ub300\uc758 \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 100%\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 77%\uc120\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

    \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba87\uba87 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5c4\uccad\ub09c \ubc84\ube14 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec\uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub5a0\uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud14c\ud06c \ud68c\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774 \uadf8 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uc608\uc2dc\uc8e0. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ub4e4\uc740 \ubc84\ube14 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \uc544\ub798 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud45c\ub294 \ubc84\ube14 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5 \uc911 \ubc84\ube14\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\uc704 1,000\uc5ec \uac1c\uc758 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 5%\uac00\ub7c9\uc774 \ubc84\ube14 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec\uc788\uc8e0. \uc774\uac83\uc740 \ub2f7\ucef4 \ubc84\ube14\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc744 \ub54c\uc758 \uc218\uce58\uc5d0 \ube44\ud558\uba74 \uc808\ubc18 \uc815\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1,000\uac1c \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c S&P500 \uc804\uccb4\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74 \ubc84\ube14\uc758 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \uc880 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uace0\uc694.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"
    \ud2b9\ud788\ub098 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub4e4\uc774 \ub5a0\uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubc84\ube14 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub193\uc778 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc218\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ucd94\uc138\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

    \uc800\ud76c\ub294 \ubc84\ube14\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ub4e4\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc774\ub4e4\uc744 \ubaa8\uc544 \u201c\ubc84\ube14 \uc8fc\uc2dd\u201d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubb49\uce58\ub85c \ub530\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c \ube7c\ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub798 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc774\ub4e4\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\uc640 \uc0c1\uc704 500\uac1c \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ube44\uad50\ud574\uc11c \ubcf4\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370\uc694. 1970\ub144\ub300 \ucd08 \uc720\ud589\ud588\ub358 \u201c\ub2c8\ud504\ud2f0 \ud53c\ud504\ud2f0\u201d\uc640 1990\ub144\ub300 \ub9d0 \ub2f7\ucef4 \ubc84\ube14 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub4e4\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae34 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ub294 \uc774 \ub450 \ubc84\ube14 \uc2dc\uae30\ub97c \uc798 \uae30\uc5b5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc8e0. 1920\ub144\ub300 \ub9d0 \ubc84\ube14 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uacfc\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4\ub9cc, \uc774 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d4 \uc81c\uac00 \ud0dc\uc5b4\ub098\uae30\ub3c4 \uc804\uc774\ub77c \uae30\uc5b5\uc744 \ubabb \ud558\uaca0\uad70\uc694.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"
    \ubd84\uba85 \uacfc\uc5f4\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ub9ce\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\uae30\uc5d0 \ubc84\ube14\uc774 \ub07c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc88b\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc774 \ub354\ub354\uc6b1\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud574\ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud615\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0\ub294 \uc800\ud76c\ub3c4 \uc18c\uc720 \uad00\ub828 \uc774\uc288\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub2e4 \uacf5\uc720\ud558\uae30\ub294 \ud798\ub4e4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uba87 \uac1c\uc758 \uce21\uc815\uac12\uc774\ub098 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \ub354 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc2f6\uc73c\uc2dc\ub2e4\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ucc38\uace0\ud574\uc8fc\uc138\uc694.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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